A Decisive Indicator Is Predicting a Huge and Destructive War for the USA

The worst part? This indicator was never wrong before.

The Total Public Debt/GDP Ratio. Source: Longtermtrends.

The year 2022 is, so far, full of wild guesses and random forecasts.

Some of these predictions are made by investors based on historical cycles, others are made by entrepreneurs based on their market perceptions, and there are a few based on dreams under psychoactive substances (and these aren’t even the most baseless, since there are also economists’ forecasts).

Among all the indicators, numbers, and calculations made to predict the future, there is always the famous point of no concordance. It is that single point of data that creates an exception.

Examples:

• The inverted yield curve predicted almost every recession in the last century… except one.
• A sharp drop in the US consumer confidence predicted most of the economic crises in the last century, but not all.
• Nearly every time US interest rates rose, a drop in house prices followed, except between 1993 and 1998.

But there are some rare indicators that have no point of failure. So far, they are perfect. Still, even the most accurate indicators will fail sooner or later.